The August Nonfarm Payrolls report on September 5 will shape expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut. Weak job growth may strengthen the case for easing, while strong numbers could dampen those hopes and pressure risk assets, including crypto. On September 11, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will reveal how inflation is trending. A softer print could fuel dovish sentiment and provide a boost for digital assets. The most critical event is the Federal Reserve meeting on September 16–17 . Markets expect a 25 bps rate cut with nearly 90% certainty. A dovish message could push crypto higher, while a cautious or hawkish tone might limit gains even if a cut is delivered. Finally, U.S. regulators are moving forward. On September 2, the SEC and CFTC launched a joint initiative to issue clearer rules on leveraged and margined crypto transactions, signaling stronger regulatory guidance for the sector.
