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2026-02-28 00:09:45

Bitcoin immutability debate rekindled as Karpelès pushes $5.2B hard fork plan

The former CEO of the defunct exchange Mt. Gox, Mark Karpelès, has reignited one of Bitcoin’s fiercest ideological debates after publishing a draft proposal. Karpelès is calling for a Bitcoin hard fork that would allow almost 80,000 BTC, valued at more than $5.2 billion at current prices, to be recovered from a wallet linked to the exchange’s 2011 hack. The proposal comes amid surging crypto-related thefts, with more than $3.4 billion stolen between January and early December 2025. The total loss from one such incident was estimated at around $1.5 billion in February’s Bybit hack . At the same time, financial security is also changing the nature and means by which money is stolen. Personal wallet compromises have increased considerably, from 7.3% of the total stolen value in 2022 to 44% by 2024, and will still make up approximately 37% in 2025, although by no means without the enormous damage of the Bybit hack. Meanwhile, centralized platforms are facing increasingly sophisticated attacks targeting private key infrastructure and transaction-signing systems. Although such breaches remain relatively rare, their massive scale allows them to dominate loss figures, accounting for about 90% of stolen funds in the first quarter of 2025 — often through exploits involving third-party wallet integrations and manipulated transaction approvals. Stolen fund activity has always been outlier-driven, with most hacks relatively small and some immense. But 2025 reveals a striking escalation in both the scale and impact of major attacks. Mt. Gox recovery proposal reopens Bitcoin immutability debate In a recently published tentative proposal , Karpelès proposed a one-time change to the consensus rules that would enable Bitcoin already inside a long-dormant wallet connected to the heist to be transferred to a recovery address held by the Mt. Gox rehabilitation process. The targeted address already received the funds after a documented compromise of Mt. Gox systems in June 2011, and the coins have gone untouched for more than 15 years . Under Bitcoin’s existing guidelines, the funds may only be moved using the original private keys, widely believed to be lost or unavailable. Karpelès says its exceptional conditions would mandate a narrowly scoped protocol intervention — he recasts the request as a technical discussion, rather than a direct upgrade request. The draft specifies that the rule change would apply only to the single theft address, although network participants could adopt the change to activate it at a later block height. Recovered funds would then be awarded to verified creditors through Japan’s ongoing court-supervised civil rehabilitation process, which controls repayments after the collapse of Mt. Gox in 2014. Critics warn targeted rule change could fracture network consensus The proposal would bring into sharper relief a long-standing philosophical rift in the Bitcoin community — whether verifiable acts of theft should ever justify changing blockchain history. Proponents might see the plan as a rare opportunity to return billions in idle assets to victims of one of crypto’s biggest exchange collapses. Mt. Gox used to process up to 70% of global Bitcoin trading before it lost several hundred thousand BTC, a disaster that profoundly influenced industry security standards and trust. Critics, however, caution that altering ownership rules could erode Bitcoin’s enduring promise of immutability. The proposal itself notes these risks to network consensus, stating that a hard fork, if coordinated with miners, developers, and node operators, cannot upgrade a chain and will risk fracturing network consensus in a chain split. Significantly, the contested coins are separate from assets that are already being distributed to creditors. Some 200,000 BTC were previously recovered and consolidated into trustee control, with the aim of setting a precedent and enabling repayments from 2024, continuing through October 2026. Whether Karpelès’ proposal takes hold remains a distant destination, but by countering Bitcoin’s historical resistance to transaction reversals, the plan has already reopened a fundamental question for the planet’s biggest cryptocurrency: Should we embrace absolute immutability, even though billions of stolen funds are unlikely to move again? The smartest crypto minds already read our newsletter. Want in? Join them .

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