Cardano’s rebound to the $0.75–$0.76 support and rising Open Interest suggest growing institutional and retail conviction ahead of the SEC’s ADA ETF decision; sustained holding above $0.90 could see ADA test $1.30, while failure risks a return to $0.75. ADA bounced from $0.75 support and is eyeing $1.29–$1.30 resistance. Open Interest increased ~8%, signaling higher leveraged positioning and event-driven volatility. Stock-to-Flow and accumulation metrics show tightening supply among long-term holders. Primary keyword: Cardano ETF decision — Track ADA price action now; stay informed on ETF news and market signals. { "@context":"https://schema.org", "@type":"NewsArticle", "headline":"Cardano ETF decision: Will ADA extend its rebound toward $1.30?", "description":"Cardano’s rebound from $0.75, rising Open Interest and tightening supply suggest potential upside into the SEC ADA ETF decision window; key levels and risks explained.", "image":["https://en.coinotag.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/ADAUSDT_2025-10-07_08-41-58.png"], "datePublished":"2025-10-07T08:45:00Z", "dateModified":"2025-10-07T08:45:00Z", "author":{ "@type":"Organization", "name":"COINOTAG" }, "publisher":{ "@type":"Organization", "name":"COINOTAG", "logo":{ "@type":"ImageObject", "url":"https://en.coinotag.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/coinotag-logo.png" } }} { "@context":"https://schema.org", "@type":"FAQPage", "mainEntity":[ { "@type":"Question", "name":"Will ADA rally toward $1.30 before the ETF decision?", "acceptedAnswer":{ "@type":"Answer", "text":"If ADA holds above $0.90 amid rising Open Interest and supply contraction, it could retest $1.29–$1.30 ahead of the ETF ruling. A reversal or broader market sell-off, however, could push ADA back toward $0.75." } }, { "@type":"Question", "name":"What does rising Open Interest mean for ADA?", "acceptedAnswer":{ "@type":"Answer", "text":"An 8% increase in Open Interest indicates more leveraged positions and higher speculative commitment, which can amplify volatility around event-driven catalysts like the ETF decision." } }, { "@type":"Question", "name":"How does supply tightening affect ADA price prospects?", "acceptedAnswer":{ "@type":"Answer", "text":"A rising Stock-to-Flow ratio and reduced on-chain distribution suggest long-term holders are accumulating, which historically precedes multi-week rallies if demand holds steady." } } ]} { "@context":"https://schema.org", "@type":"HowTo", "name":"How to monitor ADA ahead of the ETF decision", "description":"Step-by-step checklist to track ADA price action, derivatives metrics and supply signals before the SEC decision.", "image":"https://COINOTAG.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/ADAUSDT_2025-10-07_08-41-58.png", "totalTime":"PT15M", "supply":[ "Charting platform (price & volume)", "Derivatives tracker (Open Interest)", "On-chain analytics (Stock-to-Flow, accumulation)" ], "step":[ { "@type":"HowToStep", "name":"Check short-term support and resistance", "text":"Identify $0.75 support and $0.92–$1.30 resistance zones on 4H and daily charts." }, { "@type":"HowToStep", "name":"Monitor Open Interest and funding rates", "text":"Watch for rising Open Interest and extreme funding that can signal increased liquidation risk." }, { "@type":"HowToStep", "name":"Assess on-chain supply trends", "text":"Track Stock-to-Flow and holder distribution to confirm whether long-term accumulation is underway." } ]} Key Takeaways Will Cardano sustain its rebound? The rebound from $0.75 reflects renewed bullish momentum, supported by strong accumulation and improved technical structure. Could ADA rally toward $1.30 before the ETF decision? Tightening supply and rising Open Interest indicate ADA could extend its recovery into the ETF decision window. Cardano (ADA) rebounded from the $0.75 support zone at a pivotal moment as the market awaited the SEC’s ruling on an ADA ETF, which many traders flagged for late October. Market participants priced in the possibility that an approval would attract renewed institutional flows and greater credibility for Cardano as a major altcoin. Retail engagement has increased volatility, with traders positioning for a breakout while managing event risk. Overall, both bullish and bearish scenarios remain plausible as the ETF announcement approaches. Will ADA’s rebound fuel a stronger uptrend? Cardano briefly dipped below its ascending channel and found support at $0.75–$0.76 before buyers stepped in. The immediate recovery targeted short-term resistance at $0.92 and the psychological $1.00 mark. Maintaining levels above $0.90 is critical to open a path toward $1.29–$1.30; failure to hold could lead to another test of $0.75. Source: TradingView Rising Open Interest shows speculative confidence Open Interest climbed roughly 8.04% to $1.72 billion, indicating more leveraged positions and heightened speculative interest. Such increases typically signal that traders expect larger moves, but they also raise liquidation risk if sentiment flips. With the ETF ruling the main catalyst in the near term, derivatives markets could see amplified flows and short-term whipsaws. Source: CoinGlass Is tightening supply signaling the next ADA breakout? Stock-to-Flow metrics and on-chain accumulation showed supply tightening, as long-term holders reduced sell-side pressure. This pattern mirrors historical setups where accumulation precedes sustained multi-week rallies when paired with rising demand. Still, over-optimism around the ETF outcome can produce short-lived spikes and sharp corrections if the result disappoints. Source: Santiment Can ADA sustain momentum into the ETF decision? Cardano’s recovery from $0.75, combined with higher Open Interest and supply compression, points to genuine demand rather than short-term speculative churn. Long-term holder accumulation reinforces bullish conviction, but the ETF outcome and broad market trends will determine whether ADA can reach $1.30. Traders should monitor the $0.90 pivot, derivatives flows, and on-chain supply to gauge whether the rally has durable support. Frequently Asked Questions What are the immediate support and resistance levels for ADA? Support sits at $0.75–$0.76; immediate resistance lies at $0.92 and $1.00, with a higher target near $1.29–$1.30 if momentum continues. How should traders manage risk ahead of the ETF decision? Use position sizing, set stop-losses around key support ($0.75), and monitor Open Interest and funding rates to avoid amplified liquidation risk during volatile moves. Key Takeaways Support and structure : ADA’s bounce from $0.75 restored short-term bullish structure and set $0.90 as a critical pivot. Derivatives and supply : Rising Open Interest and a higher Stock-to-Flow ratio reflect increased speculative interest and long-term accumulation. Actionable insight : Watch $0.90–$1.00; holding those levels increases the chances of a move to $1.29–$1.30 before the ETF decision. Conclusion Cardano’s rebound, supported by rising Open Interest and supply tightening, suggests that ADA is positioned for a possible advance into the ETF decision window. Monitor the $0.90 pivot, derivatives metrics and on-chain accumulation to assess the strength of this setup. COINOTAG will continue to track developments and update readers as the SEC ruling approaches.
