Polymarket predicts 76% chance Fed keeps rates steady in May amid pressure. Market sees 21% chance of a modest 25 bps rate cut, but no major changes. Odds of a 50 bps cut or rate hike remain near zero, reflecting stability. With the U.S. economy sending mixed signals, expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate action seem set. According to crowd-sourced predictions from Polymarket , there’s a 76% chance the Fed will keep its benchmark rate unchanged at the May 7 meeting. Among those pushing for an easing of monetary policy are President Donald Trump and investor Arthur Hayes, both arguing that lower rates could stimulate a slowing economy. However, the Fed appears committed to caution, prioritizing stability over reactionary moves. What Prediction Markets Show: 76% Odds Fed Holds Rates Steady The Polymarket data, drawn from over $20 million in traded volume, reveals a strong consensus among traders. Most believe the Federal Reserve will maintain current interest rate levels. The price for a “Yes” bet on no change currently trades at 76¢, reflecting strong market confidence in that scenario. Related: ‘Fed on the Clock’: … The post Rate Cut Advocates vs. Fed Caution: Traders Side with Stability appeared first on Coin Edition .
