Despite increasing global trade frictions and a volatile geopolitical climate, crypto investment giant Bitwise remains confident that Bitcoin will hit $200,000 by the end of 2025 . The firm’s Chief Investment Officer, Matt Hougan, reaffirmed the prediction in a blog post published on April 9, attributing the optimistic forecast to shifting global monetary dynamics and recent U.S. economic policy rhetoric. Dollar Weakness Could Be a Secret Weapon for Bitcoin Hougan pointed to growing discontent within the U.S. administration over the dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency. Referencing an April 7 speech by White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Steve Miran, Hougan noted that the dollar’s dominance has led to structural economic imbalances, harming U.S. manufacturing and trade competitiveness. In response, the Trump administration appears to be favoring a weaker dollar—an outcome that has historically served as a tailwind for Bitcoin. “Dollar down equals Bitcoin up,” Hougan wrote, noting that the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has slid over 7% since the beginning of the year. As the greenback’s value erodes, Bitcoin’s appeal as a non-sovereign, deflationary store of value becomes even more compelling, especially for those seeking to hedge against fiat instability. From Reserve Currency to Reserve Alternatives But Hougan isn’t just talking short-term price moves. He envisions a more profound transformation in global finance. As confidence in the U.S. dollar erodes, both governments and multinational corporations may increasingly seek alternative settlement assets. Gold has historically filled that role, but in a digital, borderless world, Bitcoin is emerging as a serious contender . “We’re heading toward a fractured reserve system,” Hougan explained. “In that landscape, hard money assets like BTC will gain relevance in ways we haven’t seen before.” His comments were echoed by VanEck analysts earlier this week, who cited reports that China and Russia have begun using Bitcoin for energy trade settlements—a potentially groundbreaking shift in the global economic order. Meanwhile, BTC itself is showing signs of renewed strength. The cryptocurrency surged 6.5% in the past 24 hours, trading at $81,400. Though still 32% below its January 20 all-time high, the pullback is consistent with previous bull market behavior. Crypto analyst Will Clemente summed it up succinctly: “Bitcoin will be the fastest horse coming out of this drawdown.” For Bitwise and others betting big, that horse may still be galloping toward $200,000. The post Bitwise Sticks to Bold $200K Bitcoin Target Amid Global Trade Fractures appeared first on TheCoinrise.com .
